My special pack opener (Elizabeth) will be here to help with the luck factor involved.
Pack One:
Wilfbitten Captive ($2)
Foil Wolfhunter's Quiver ($.50)
Stromkirk Captain ($1)
Feed the Pack ($.50)
Pack Value ($4)
Overall, this was a solid pack in terms of value, though it might be hard to trade the quiver. The Feed the Pack should be a nice throw in for someone (Probably trade it at $2), and the Captive might be able to get $3. The Captain should be an easy trade at $2
Pack Two:
Foil Crushing Vines ($1)
Immerwolf ($1)
Drogskol Captain ($2.5)
Thraben Doomsayer ($2.5)
Pack Value ($7)
This seems to be another solid pack. I think that the Doomsayers could be a good pickup at $1-2 each, since they will always be good in casual and have an effect similar to Emeria Angel, which was a huge part of Caw Blade. Beyond that, 2 Captains in a pack is rather solid, and Crushing Vines seems like a solid card that might be playable in EDH.
Pack Three:
Zombie Apocalypse ($1)
This is one of those packs that you hate to see. No real action in the uncommons, and a rare worth on a dollar. I can hope to trade this for $2, and try to get something going with it.
Pack Four:
Vault of the Archangel ($4)
Can't really complain. It is above the EV, and this card could really see play if WB tokens gets better.
Pack Five:
Drogskol Captain ($2.5)
Foil Markov Blademaster ($4)
Sorin, Lord of Innistrad ($30)
Pack Value ($36.5)
Ching Ching. Despite Sorin dropping, he still has value and will really boost a trade binder. The foil Markov Blademaster is only worth $4, but I could see him trading for $6 since he is powerful and lots of casual people will want it. That shouldn't stay in my binder long.
Switching from the half box I had won to random packs that I have won through FNMs (as the value of the other packs drops significantly with the potential for Sorin gone)
Pack Six:
Lost in the Woods ($.50)
This is the kind of card that might just sit in my binder for a year and end up in my collection forever. Not a good pack to open. You never know though, someone might want it.
Pack Seven:
Flayer of the Hatebound ($.50)
Lingering Souls ($2)
Stromkirk Captain ($1)
Pack Value = ($3.5)
This pack is alright. I can imagine people wanting to build an undying deck, so flayer could probably be traded at $2 to the right person. The lingering souls and captain should not be hard to move.
Pack Eight:
Increasing Confusion ($1.25)
This might be able to trade at $2. I don't think mill will be viable, but that has never stopped people from trying.
Pack Nine:
Thraben Doomsayer ($2.5)
Tragic Slip ($1)
Pack Value ($3.5)
Solid pack. People will need tragic slip, and if they aren't drafting a lot, they will have to trade for them. They could be used to even out a deal, or a set could be used to pick up something in the 4-5 range. Another doomsayer is promising.
Pack Ten:
Call to the Kindred ($.50)
Foil Gavony Ironwright ($.50)
Pack Value ($1)
Another Swing and a miss. It will happen in packs, so all you can do it try and take the good with the bad, and try to move the bad cards for something.
Pack Eleven:
Grim Backwoods ($1)
Nothing great. The problem with DA is that a lot of rares are not really good. I imagine that some will go up in a few months, so it seems like it would be important to figure out which are the most likely to see standard play and to get them when they are really cheap.
Pack Twelve:
Ghoultree ($1.5)
There has been a real drought involving the captains, and that is why the last few packs sort of sucked. It seems like things should be heating up soon.
Pack Thirteen:
Foil Scorned Villager ($1)
Thalia, Guardian of Thraben ($4)
Diregraf Captain ($1.5)
Stromkirk Captain ($1)
Pack Value ($7.5)
Great pack. Two captains, a foil that should easily trade at 2.50, and a great rare that will go up and see a lot of play in a humans deck. This should help a lot in trading, and will probably help chain into top tier cards.
Pack Fifteen:
Tragic Slip ($1)
Lingering Souls ($2)
Jar of Eyeballs ($.50)
Foil Crushing Vines ($1)
Pack Value ($4.50)
Alright pack. I am going to hope a lot of the rares can be traded, while it seems like uncommons and commons are going to carry the majority of the weight. Finding someone who needs a set of Lingering Souls or a Captain will really make trading a lot easier, since moving 4 cards at a time really allows for trading up.
Pack Sixteen:
Strangleroot Geist ($2)
Vault of the Archangel ($4)
Pack Value ($6)
Solid pack. I think that I might try and pick up 12+ vaults if I can get them for 2.50 each, since they will always be tradable for casual and EDH. The Geist should easily be traded, especially if I can get a playset.
Pack Seventeen:
Strangleroot Geist ($2)
Mikaeus, the Unhallowed ($6)
Pack Value ($8)
This is great way to finish off opening packs. Geist should trade fine, and Mikaeus does see some Modern play in Pod, so this should easily be tradable.
Totals:
Packs opened= 17
Expected Value= $58.50
Actual Value - Foils= $83.25
Foil Value= $8
Total Value= $91.25
Actual Value per pack=$5.37
Overall, it was a fun process, especially since Elizabeth opened a Sorin early, so the rest felt like a freeroll. After going through this, I would imagine that if I could trade for packs at $3 each, it would be a slight gamble, but at the same time worth it. Though there are a few rares in that priced at $1 that I might never trade, being able to trade other things for value will allow me to make up more money. Without the Sorin, it seemed like a very bad set of packs, and it would have still been over the $3.44 per pack EV. I guess I will have to see what I move and how much value I can gain on things. The Sorin should go a long way in that. Hopefully we open some more packs and can repeat this level of success.
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